Tuesday, January 6, 2015

19 DEMYSTIFYING PSI: IS ANTI-MEMORY THE MOST SCIENTIFIC PARADIGM?



This blog contains a scientific paper by me, written in popular style and accepted for publication in a forthcoming issue of Paranormal Review – offical magazine of The Society for Psychical Research (SPR) London.   It’s a summary of a longer - and wholly uncontested - address I gave at the 38th SPR International Convention, held at York Univ: September 5-7, 2014.
‘Psi’ is the technical term for ‘psychic’ awareness of supposed various sorts. These include ‘clairvoyance’ (France 1786), ‘telepathy’ (Britain 1884), ‘Extra-Sensory Perception’ = ‘ESP (America 1930), ‘Remote-Viewing’ (CIA sponsored 1972-95), ‘precognition’ (Britain ca. 1890)
The term ‘psychic’  itself  literally means ‘of the soul’.  Introduced by distinguished physicist Sir William Crookes in 1871, it was thought to support common religious thinking in MidVictorian Britain.  Though Crookes should have known better, since this term has continued to obscure clear thinking ever since.
 ‘Parapsychology’ describes one methodology for researching  into psychic affairs.  Introduced in America ca. 1930 as an extension of then new behaviourist methodology, it has notably failed to produce either clarification or much practical results.
This paper describes a very different approach, one which demsytifies the longstanding riddle of so-called ‘psychic’ awareness to a new degree.  It develops my new psycho-physics concept of anti-memory or more specifically repressed pre-call - on which I’ve partially expounded in our most recent blogs. 


This subject is also covered more extensively in my new kindle book: Future, Memory and Time - now available on Kindle.


It  shows how there really is ‘something to’ incidents of psychic awareness, though not atall as hitherto construed.  They’re better interpreted as a radical but useful resolution of certain unresolved issues concerning  ‘The Nature of Time’.  The conclusion being that Einstein’s  Relativity Theory (RT) likely applies to the everyday human condition, and to a degree unsuspected  hitherto.

DEMYSTIFYING PSI: IS ANTI-MEMORY THE MOST SCIENTIFIC PARADIGM?
TO START A NEW SCIENCE OF TIME.....


As Donal West recently observed, current parapsychology shows little sign of significant  progress.[1] Still, as I pointed out at the recent SPR Conference, this needn’t entail that psi awareness is unreal or invalid, but rather that it should be researched in a more productive way.[2} One such is the anti-memory paradigm proposed by me in 1973, and summarised in this magazine in 2005. [3] 
    There I’ve detailed how the universal tendency, to think in terms of space before considering time, has produced various contra-scientific hypotheses like ‘clairvoyance, telepathy, remote-viewing, ESP’.   All these presuppose some mysterious mental process of ‘transmission’ across space, understandably leading to suspicion and opposition from conventional scientists.
    So here I will show how the anti-memory paradigm is a more scientific concept for psi awareness, conforming with good science practice in most or all respects, 

One Clear Common Pattern

Anti-memory (or pre-call) derives from a 15-month Survey of Subjective Coincidence I once conducted in Galway, Ireland among 16 professional people, so logging a total 257 cases of potential psi.  ‘Subjective’ meant that one of the two coincident components was always some unusual or anomalous act of mind.  Our psychology was ‘Shakespearean rather than Skinnerian’ and our methodology derived from mining prospecting.  There commerce dictates that no possibly relevant anomaly can be neglected - no matter how weak, tenuous, arguable or coincidental it might at first appear.   
    Our Survey was therefore more thorough or ‘microscopic’ than those  ‘telescopic’ surveys conducted by the early SPR, where only outstanding psi anecdotes garnered from the public were regarded as significant.[4]  But our closer acquaintance with the natural facts of psi eventually crystallised them into one new common pattern of ‘First think, then see’ throughout.
    And since this universal pattern was a clear temporal  inversion of ‘First see, then think’ which is a summary of episodic memory, my  two neologisms of ‘anti-memory’ and ‘pre-call’ (more specific) emerged almost automatically. These further obviated traditional  ‘pre-cognition’, as a demonstrably misleading and inaccurate term.[3]
    Psi’s new common pattern violated everyday temporal notions as formalised into Absolute Time by Newton, but was consistent with Einstein’s newer concept of time in Relativity. [5]   Further, as I’ll summarise below, close acquaintance with those many cases of potential psi soon led to deliberate pre-call learning in various modes.
   Our initially casual Concidence Survey therefore developed into a novel exercise in psycho-physics, one fittting the universal model of discovery which historians like T.Kuhn describe.  It was a  new way of giving order to assembled data, by people new to the field, because not committed to the previous failing rules. [6] 

The Pattern is Universal

But does the ‘First think, then see’  summation apply more generally to those wider fields of psi anecdotes elsewhere?  It seems to hold for those few incomplete observations on  ‘clairvoyance’ as initiated by mesmerist M de Puysegur (1786).[7]   It describes every one of those 109 spontaneous anecdotes advanced in Phantasms to support ‘telepathy’ (1886), all of those 35 cases of  potential psi reported in JW Dune’s‘Experiment with Time’ (1927), and R. Sheldrake’s much later demonstration of ‘telephone telepathy’ (2003).[8]
    First think, then see’ also holds true for at least most of J.B. Rhine’s early card-guessing experiments, later successes in the ganzfeld procedure, and 179 of those 184  cases interpreted by Louisa Rhine as ‘spontaneous ESP’ (1962).[9]  Finally it applies to those various scattered anecdotes reported from the remote-viewing program after 1972.[10]
    In some 98% of this total psi corpus therefore, my original induction of anti-memory or pre-call holds good.  (A fact easily checked by scrutinising any or all of those sources I’ve just listed here.)  So relying on Occam’s excellent principle that ‘Mysteries must not be multiplied beyond necessity’ all trans-spatial notions like clairvoyance, telepathy, ESP, remote-viewing, become superfluous to clear thought.  

Visualisation through Diagram

Pre-call can also be visualised in a useful time diagram which encompasses the entire psi corpus  as above.  Here the left side depicts the normal decay of episodic re-call in a standard memory curve.[11]   The paranormal right side is of course much steeper, depicting less frequent and far weaker pre-call of experiences still to come.
 Re-call from past                                  NOW                               Pre-call from future?
    As I’ve also explained earlier, this diagram permits a first-ever estimate for the natural abundance of psi.[3]  Though probably much greater in reality, the comparative pre-call/re-call frequency still works out at a minimum 10-8, a very significant level of anomaly in science elsewhere.   For example CERN’s recent discovery of a possible Higgs boson was a 10-15 anomaly. 
    Likewise I’ve explained how psi’s represssed nature – widely accepted by most researchers – gains further temporal credence from suggestions by S.Freud,  C.Jung,  JT. Fraser,  E.Berne.  Most important of these is J.Piaget’s answer to Einstein’s question about the growth in child awareness  of subjective  time:  ‘(It’s) largely based on what they hear from adults, and not from their own experience......One could almost say that the child begins as a little relativist, but ends up a Newtonian absolutist!’[12]
    All of which can explain why the typical psi experience so often seems disconcerting, or the pre-call curve manifests as relatively weak.  Psi likely emanates from a highly repressed or Child-centered capability, unwelcome because it threatens or contradicts that learned world-picture all western peoples have assumed for time.

The Prime Assumption is Invalid

Such considerations also highlight one striking weakness in most time thinking hitherto: the universal idea that memory must work pastward (i.e. ‘backward’) only.  This is a totally unchecked belief never previously clarified nor investigated to see if it’s really true.   It’s a logical weakness I’ve termed The Prime Assumption because it’s such a crucially important one
    Wherefore, as P.Medawar states more generally, the original anti-memory hypothesis has evolved into an imaginative preconception of what might be true, in the form of a declaration with verifiable deductive consequences, which should account for the known phenomena, predict what is not yet known to be the case, and carries an obligation to test.[13]
    Due testing then shows that anti-memory can indeed be developed through learning based on the pre-call diagram, and in various different though limited modes I’ve described elsewhere.[14]  Always the essential point is to develop intense interest in a specific outcome, so raising those diagrammed memory peaks in both past and future mode.  To date learned pre-call, first tackled by myself, has been confirmed by some dozen others in varying degree.  All rightful sceptics are also invited to “Try it and see!” at their own convenience, as is the standard or Galilean mode of scientific proof.      
    Quantitative learning in this way can involve cards, roulette, 3-digit numbers, each mode requiring that one largely starts all over again for each new feat. Pre-call of a quantum RNG also disproves the Copenhagen dictum that singular electrons are unpredictable.  This replicates an original experiment by Helmudt Schmidt (1969), indicating further that Relativity rather than Quantum Theory is the prime arbitrer of time.[15]   And finally 3-digit pre-call can be used to label everyday human futures, with startling results again only explicable through Relativity.

Pre-call Complements Relativity

As physicists well know, Einstein’s Relativity Theory (1905) works perfectly wherever it’s been tried.  (For example your car’s SatNav depends on it.)  But psychologically its implications remain contentious and hitherto unproven, because they differ so much from common impressions of subjective time. Relativity implies that we’re passing through static and predetermined (space)-time, instead of the more egocentric impression that ‘time passes’ by ourselves.
    Commentator Paul Davies has termed this conflict ‘Einstein’s unfinished revolution... the glaring mismatch between physical and psychological time...One suspects that time doesn’t really flow at all; it’s all in the mind.’[16]   Among the majority who agree is CERN physicist Costa de Beauregaard: ‘There can be no objective and essential division between ‘events that have already occurred ‘ and ‘ events that have not yet occurred’... Relativity is a theory in which everything is written, and where change is only relative to the perceptual mode of human beings’ [17]
    Most physicists who’ve contemplated this dichotomy probably concur, though still totally unable to bridge the seeming gulf between Relativity and subjective time.   Or as recently summarised in a compendium by Scientific American: ‘There’s a hole at the heart of physics, and it’s all to do with the nature of time’ [18]  
      Re-call from past                        NOW                   Pre-call from future?
              
Full pre-call capability (top) would psychologically complement physical implications of a predetermined future as expressed in Relativity diagrams (bottom)
    But this is a hole which anti-memory can now start to fill quite readily.   First through learned pre-call which disproves the Prime Assumption that memory must work pastward only; second by its provision of a psycho-physical isomorph for which commentators like JT Fraser and W. Pauli long ago expressed the need. [19]
    Such an isomorph (lit: same shape) would be a hand-to glove fit between psychology and physics in matters temporal.  And it would exist if ever memory could be developed to full re-call/pre-call symmetry in even a few limited modes - as does indeed seem entirely feasible.

Fits Tests for Good Science

All of which means that anti-memory must be much more than a mere hypothesis, in fact more of a theory for those familiar with those proofs so readily available.  But otherwise one may regard it as a paradigm, Kuhn’s rather ambiguous term for an idea half-way between the two.
    Finally science can be described as ‘a discipline devoted to description of nature and its laws’.  So does all the foregoing fulfil those universal tests for good science and theory, helpfully well clarified by three Nobel-class researchers - M.GellMann, T.Kuhn, P.Medawar? [20, 6, 13]  Their tests I’ve summarised in a table which compares the new anti-memory concept with older ‘transmission’ ideas like ‘ESP’. 
                   
TESTS OF GOOD THEORY IN SCIENCE
TRANSMISSION e.g. ESP
ANTI-MEMORY =               PRE-CALL
1/ Compression into a simple pattern
2/Elegance through brevity, fit, symmetry
-
-
+
+
3/ A  synthesis of wide generality
     -(?)
+
4/ Open-ended potential - to extend and correct.
-
+
5/ Unification with simplicity
-
+
6/ Utility through suggesting experiments unthinkable before.
-
+
7/ Testability of hypothesis
     -(?)
+
8/  Predictability of outcome.
-
+
9/ Repeatability of such reports
-
      + (?)
10/ Consistent with established science,
-
+
11/ Solution to current problems therein
-
+
12/ Productivity towards open-ended progress
-
+

Can Start a New Science of Time?
Considered in this light there can be little doubt that anti-memory provides the most scientific paradigm for the psi anomaly so far.  More importantly it can provide the basis for a whole new Science of Time, a discipline still non-existent because it has lacked those firm foundations which anti-memory can now provide....

REFERENCES
[1] West, D.  Awkward Questions J.S.P.R. Oct 2012
[2] O’Donnell, S.  Abstracts 37th Internat. Conference SPR 2013. p.9
[3] O’Donnell, S.  Paranormal Review.  October 2005
[4] Myers, F.W. et al.  Phantasms of the Living.  SPR 1886
[5] O’Donnell, S.  Relativity and Subjective Time Parascience Conf. London 1973
[6] Kuhn, T. The Structure of Scientific Revolutions 2012 p.90
[7] de Puysegur, C.  Animal Magnetism Paris 1784
[8] Sheldrake, R.  J.S.P.R. – 67 – p.184
[9] Rhine, L.  Hidden Channels of the Mind 1962
[10] McMoneagle, J.  Remote Viewing Secrets 2000
[11] Ebbinghaus,H.  About Memory  1882
[12] Piaget J.  Construction of Reality in the Child 1954
[13] Medawar P.  The Art of the Soluble 1967, Ch.7
[14] O’Donnell S. The Paranormal Explained  2007
[15] Schmidt H.  J.Parapsychology 33-2 p.99
[16] Davies P.  About Time 1988
[17] Fraser J.T. The Voices of Time 1968 p.417
[18] Scientific American  A Question of Time 20123 Ch.1.3
[19] FraserJ.T.  TheVoices  p. 217
[20] GellMann M.  The Quark and the Jaguar 1994 p.75